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How Do Team Form and Injuries Affect Football Betting Odds

To begin, team form is one of the most significant factors in football betting. The 1xBet platform closely monitors team performance to set odds that reflect the current state of the teams involved.
A team's recent performance plays a critical role in determining odds. For example, if a team has won 5 of its last 6 matches, this positive form will likely result in lower odds for that team in upcoming fixtures. Conversely, a team with poor form, such as losing 5 out of 6 games, will have higher odds.
According to data from the 2022-2023 English Premier League season, teams like Manchester City, who were in exceptional form, saw their odds drop significantly in matches. For instance, Manchester City's odds to win against mid-table teams averaged around 1.20, while their odds to lose against top teams were as high as 4.50.

Team form can also vary significantly depending on whether they are playing at home or away. Typically, home teams have better odds, reflecting the advantage of playing in familiar conditions. During the 2022-2023 season, the average odds for home wins in the Premier League were around 1.80, compared to away wins, which were approximately 2.20.
Dealing With Injuries
Player injuries are another critical factor that can drastically alter football betting odds. Injuries to key players can lead to significant changes in a team's chances of winning.

Conversely, the return of a key player from injury can lead to a decrease in odds as the team's chances of winning improve. The odds for Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) dropped from 1.60 to 1.40 when Lionel Messi returned from injury during the 2022-2023 Ligue 1 season.
Latest injury reports are taken into account for adjusting odds. Injury updates are crucial for setting accurate odds. For instance, if a leading midfielder is injured just before a match, the odds will reflect this change rapidly.
Complex algorithms and statistical models are used to incorporate team form and injuries into their odds-setting process. These models are used to ensure that their odds are competitive and reflective of real-time conditions.
The calculation of odds involves aggregating various factors, including:
- team form;
- injuries;
- and historical performance

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Any facts, figures or references stated here are made by the author & don't reflect the endorsement of iU at all times unless otherwise drafted by official staff at iU. A part [small/large] could be AI generated content at times and it's inevitable today. If you have a feedback particularly with regards to that, feel free to let us know. This article was first published here on 26th September 2024.
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